Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002846 0.002974 0.003105 0.003247 0.003399 0.003556 0.003731
2025-02-16 0.002603 0.002797 0.003001 0.003233 0.003491 0.003769 0.004092
2025-02-23 0.002440 0.002669 0.002918 0.003209 0.003541 0.003910 0.004353
2025-03-02 0.002350 0.002610 0.002897 0.003241 0.003643 0.004101 0.004669
2025-03-09 0.002249 0.002529 0.002843 0.003226 0.003683 0.004217 0.004893
2025-03-16 0.002159 0.002453 0.002789 0.003204 0.003709 0.004310 0.005089
2025-03-23 0.002067 0.002370 0.002720 0.003159 0.003701 0.004358 0.005227
2025-03-30 0.001987 0.002297 0.002659 0.003119 0.003696 0.004406 0.005363
2025-04-06 0.001937 0.002256 0.002635 0.003121 0.003741 0.004516 0.005580
2025-04-13 0.001841 0.002157 0.002535 0.003025 0.003656 0.004455 0.005568
2025-04-20 0.001801 0.002126 0.002517 0.003030 0.003699 0.004559 0.005779
2025-04-27 0.001783 0.002120 0.002530 0.003074 0.003794 0.004733 0.006091
2025-05-04 0.001728 0.002065 0.002480 0.003037 0.003781 0.004764 0.006208
2025-05-11 0.001686 0.002028 0.002451 0.003025 0.003800 0.004840 0.006391
2025-05-18 0.001643 0.001987 0.002416 0.003003 0.003805 0.004894 0.006544
2025-05-25 0.001624 0.001976 0.002419 0.003032 0.003879 0.005047 0.006849
2025-06-01 0.001589 0.001943 0.002392 0.003019 0.003894 0.005116 0.007029
2025-06-08 0.001552 0.001907 0.002361 0.002998 0.003898 0.005167 0.007184
2025-06-15 0.001510 0.001862 0.002316 0.002957 0.003870 0.005170 0.007264
2025-06-22 0.001471 0.001822 0.002275 0.002921 0.003848 0.005182 0.007356
2025-06-29 0.001449 0.001802 0.002262 0.002923 0.003880 0.005274 0.007580
2025-07-06 0.001394 0.001738 0.002187 0.002835 0.003779 0.005161 0.007466
2025-07-13 0.001375 0.001722 0.002178 0.002840 0.003813 0.005255 0.007695